Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.092866 1.300192 1.517168 1.759654 2.021653 2.294900 2.600149
2025-02-02 0.860443 1.160859 1.494652 1.886473 2.327927 2.804810 3.354087
2025-02-09 0.747157 1.100360 1.508757 2.002896 2.573305 3.201538 3.936902
2025-02-16 0.638349 1.027153 1.494480 2.075865 2.761444 3.529029 4.439540
2025-02-23 0.531788 0.938871 1.447667 2.097645 2.879213 3.767124 4.832584
2025-03-02 0.405876 0.807270 1.333634 2.026975 2.878915 3.862070 5.056209
2025-03-09 0.298791 0.684080 1.217200 1.942252 2.852585 3.919173 5.229565
2025-03-16 0.225941 0.597948 1.140233 1.899385 2.870519 4.022954 5.452246
2025-03-23 0.187645 0.559638 1.124432 1.932086 2.979071 4.232569 5.797260
2025-03-30 0.148004 0.511188 1.089336 1.935641 3.048375 4.392991 6.082630
2025-04-06 0.107895 0.452084 1.032790 1.906014 3.072361 4.496053 6.297892
2025-04-13 0.095195 0.445057 1.053901 1.981949 3.231148 4.763425 6.709328
2025-04-20 0.085327 0.444787 1.089014 2.083286 3.430980 5.091273 7.206140
2025-04-27 0.079056 0.451950 1.136450 2.203292 3.657203 5.454359 7.748878
2025-05-04 0.075760 0.465302 1.193337 2.336218 3.899877 5.837360 8.315157
2025-05-11 0.064598 0.455723 1.211457 2.413245 4.068983 6.129289 8.771851
2025-05-18 0.048399 0.426488 1.194179 2.437612 4.167411 6.332502 9.120550
2025-05-25 0.025627 0.362021 1.110274 2.360680 4.128192 6.361544 9.255913
2025-06-01 0.009756 0.298722 1.019996 2.268700 4.064675 6.356918 9.347525
2025-06-08 0.002811 0.256422 0.962516 2.222037 4.059244 6.422929 9.522958
2025-06-15 0.000951 0.242286 0.958761 2.257625 4.166289 6.632095 9.874787
2025-06-22 0.000014 0.220018 0.935750 2.261489 4.228481 6.783216 10.154443
2025-06-29 NaN 0.189792 0.891584 2.229258 4.238769 6.866481 10.349109